Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Probability
46¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
-10.0pp
24h Vol
$255.5K
Liquidity
$151.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 10pp over 24h
Now 46¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 1.7× turnover
$255.5k traded against $151.1k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Divergence signal firing
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -10.0pp.
- 4
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 133h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 132.9h
- 15:06SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Short-term vs. trend divergence
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -10.0pp.
- 15:06SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 133h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 46¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 45¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 47¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 47¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 45¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.5pp
to 45¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 44¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 46¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.5pp
to 47¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.0pp
to 48¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 45¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.5pp
to 45¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 48¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 50¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 53¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 65¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- 0x8150…d03f87.8K
- Trivial-Pop85.1K
- 0xd4aa…d40c77.4K
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- Novel-Effect37.2K
- Robust-Edible234.0K
- Uneven-Gas145.4K
- Annual-Ox37.2K
- Serene-Decision28.4K
- Recent-Hazel19.8K