Calculating-Undertaker
0x41246c726ce145ef1b618ecabd25cf6b5d6bf0cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.30
Total PnL
$-45.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.30
$0.06
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 28?
2082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 18?
2080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 25?
2076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 6?
2070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 14?
2065 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?
2064 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4?
2062 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 22?
2058 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 24?
2051 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 27?$4.09Jun 28, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 24?$4.10Jun 24, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 on June 22?$0.01Jun 23, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 on June 22?$4.06Jun 23, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 18?$4.16Jun 18, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 14?$4.13Jun 14, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12?$2.1KJun 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12?$2.1KJun 13, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12?$2.1KJun 12, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12?$2.1KJun 12, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 11?$2.1KJun 12, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 11?$2.1KJun 12, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 11?$2.1KJun 11, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 11?$2.1KJun 11, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 10?$2.1KJun 11, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 10?$2.1KJun 11, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10?$2.1KJun 10, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10?$2.1KJun 10, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 6?$4.14Jun 6, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4?$4.12Jun 4, 10:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.