Muddy-Deal
0x412881a24d97392743b8f0d2def48b839444bd66
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$700.76
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 83.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$352.49
$-62.50
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
380 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$348.27
$0.57
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
10000 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.4K
- LYNN VISION
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffs
3600 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$253.15Jun 4, 07:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$6.5KJun 2, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$0.00Jun 2, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$805.55Jun 2, 01:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 31, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner$3.0KMay 30, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$644.44May 30, 11:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$256.20May 28, 06:33 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.55May 28, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner$1.7KMay 27, 09:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".