Decent-Bicycle
0x413d67c666e0257061e4f1d5d2113ab50ec10db8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
109
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$3.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
96 shares @ 72.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$79.47
$9.62
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
60 shares @ 90.3¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.43
$2.23
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
60 shares @ 49.0¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$38.58
$9.18
- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.96
$16.96
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$34.49
$-3.51
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$32.50
$2.00
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
160 shares @ 58.9¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$29.60
$-64.68
- YES
Will Patrick Mahomes start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?
47 shares @ 89.9¢·now 56.5¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$26.40
$-15.63
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.25
$6.25
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
30 shares @ 85.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$24.75
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$76.92Jun 13, 09:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$50.00Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$11.26Jun 12, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?$12.27Jun 12, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$8.71Jun 12, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$7.69Jun 12, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?$10.75Jun 12, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?$14.30Jun 12, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Iraq end in a draw?$5.13Jun 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$12.27Jun 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?$13.29Jun 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$10.75Jun 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$10.24Jun 12, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$4.62Jun 12, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?$13.80Jun 12, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$7.18Jun 12, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$12.27Jun 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$10.75Jun 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$15.82Jun 12, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.