Sweet-Fail
0x41782f9b4ee334e0914e61ecfacba202420cce21
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
133
Open notional
$48.09
Total PnL
$-708.93
Realised
$28.59
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
7 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$6.60
$2.71
- YES
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
15 shares @ 45.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Apr 16, 2027$5.32
$-1.43
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
133 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.25
$0.73
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
45 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.16
$0.16
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$0.19
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
225 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.39
$-0.11
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.63
$-0.33
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
103 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.24
$-0.26
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
50 shares @ 9.6¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.13
$-1.68
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
37 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.77
$-1.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$3.89Jun 3, 21:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$4.07Jun 2, 21:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?$6.75Jun 1, 20:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.78May 31, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$4.16May 31, 19:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.52May 30, 13:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.96May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.72May 23, 17:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $6.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".