Sparkling-Baker
0x41785f4141f8967b7c84157460990e0f4286c0d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$80.56
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.56
$-19.44
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
15946 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-583.00
- YES
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-03-08?
1660 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?
1326 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-770.00
- OVER
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5
704 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- OVER
CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5
632 shares @ 67.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-425.60
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?
526 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-04?
417 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-188.00
- YES
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score
400 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-216.05
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
375 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMGeneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik$0.33May 22, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5$71.00May 21, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5$101.32May 21, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5$101.11May 21, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5$504.35May 21, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLGeneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik$279.71May 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik$173.00May 21, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5$670.27May 21, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5$333.45May 20, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLGeneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik$334.14May 20, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik$249.45May 20, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov$16.31May 20, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud$10.28May 20, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMChelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score$275.97May 20, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score$164.82May 19, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$165.06May 19, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$90.39May 10, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$89.56May 10, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$2.02Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$101.17Apr 28, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $151.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".