Late-Artist
0x417a5b75108e9415f1f8af67d54236183ba008a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$22.05
Total PnL
$-0.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in July?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.98
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.82
$-0.05
- NO
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will JSDP win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$1.98
$-0.00
- NO
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Aiemann Zahabi next?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 90.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$-0.14
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$1.45
$-0.00
- NO
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.16
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.28Jul 22, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 22?$3.01Jul 22, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$381.00Jul 22, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$0.00Jul 21, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$381.02Jul 21, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 22?$3.00Jul 21, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Travis Kelce retire before next season?$1.00Jul 21, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$376.90Jul 21, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.30Jul 19, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?$1.01Jul 18, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$1.16Jul 18, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nigma Galaxy win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament$1.32Jul 17, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 27 be less than 80?$2.84Jul 17, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$378.01Jul 17, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$1.01Jul 17, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?$1.00Jul 17, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 27 be less than 80?$2.83Jul 17, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$371.57Jul 17, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix say "Crypto" during earnings call?$1.04Jul 16, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 16?$1.09Jul 16, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $91.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 22:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.