Entire-Frame
0x417b75f912bb43f7da0fd43a83a5cf486e5218d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.5K
Total PnL
$-798.59
Realised
$-267.45
Win rate
46%
124 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
743 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$736.39
$45.66
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
350 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$350.45
$7.18
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
251 shares @ 92.3¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$234.81
$3.17
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
202 shares @ 82.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$182.48
$16.12
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
166 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$166.48
$79.88
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
132 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$131.86
$0.89
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
126 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$125.67
$3.36
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
137 shares @ 78.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$122.22
$14.95
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
122 shares @ 65.7¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$119.73
$39.77
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
96 shares @ 92.6¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.15
$1.21
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$16.81May 28, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$0.01May 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$15.03May 28, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$2.53May 28, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 124 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.