Political-Trachoma
0x41816fc1ebdfeb33f6356f2655ab499253b3de86
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$2.5K
Realised
$4.4K
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?
3122 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$19.26
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
5173 shares @ 63.9¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
1265 shares @ 94.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-8.74
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
9282 shares @ 7.7¢·now 10.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$942.10
$226.87
- YES
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
8232 shares @ 8.2¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$493.92
$-181.68
- NO
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
592 shares @ 8.5¢·now 56.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$335.57
$285.45
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
26251 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$196.88
$2.10
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
7703 shares @ 5.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$157.91
$-269.66
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
8889 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$102.22
$-156.49
- NO
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
67 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$66.93
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$201.87Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.54Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.04Jun 13, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$2.8KJun 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$94.00Jun 13, 01:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.35Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$641.55Jun 13, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?$100.03Jun 12, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?$7.42Jun 12, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?$1.2KJun 12, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$246.10Jun 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$90.27Jun 12, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$985.00Jun 12, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$252.25Jun 12, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?$138.32Jun 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?$5.51Jun 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?$345.97Jun 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?$63.90Jun 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?$98.30Jun 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?$1.2KJun 12, 15:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $322.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.