Key-Impression
0x418ff815cfadd29aab712a09b9223e8fe9867b8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$99.26
Total PnL
$-144.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
129 shares @ 62.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$71.61
$-8.39
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
58 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.62
$-0.38
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
20 shares @ 47.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.50
$-5.90
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
18 shares @ 28.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.47
$-1.53
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
433 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.03
$-62.47
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.95
$-7.05
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
110 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by April 30, 2026?
105 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$28.25Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.37Jun 9, 17:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.69Jun 8, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$16.02Jun 8, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$10.95Jun 8, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?$1.65Jun 8, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.56Jun 8, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.75Jun 8, 13:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25Jun 3, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $12.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.