Curly-Grid
0x419788fa640c9efb9beb7d26de04f88d5029aa21
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$16.86
Total PnL
$-93.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
6 shares @ 98.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.77
$-0.00
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.15
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 28?
3386 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 4?
3338 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 24?
3286 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 20?
3284 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on February 14?
1148 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.59
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on February 12?
1128 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.77
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 10?
1117 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.77Jun 20, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$12.44Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$12.40Jun 12, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$14.54Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$14.50May 26, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$14.46May 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$14.40May 19, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$14.33May 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$14.30May 12, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?$14.39May 5, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?$14.31May 4, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$4.29May 4, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$4.26Apr 17, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.13Apr 10, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 26?$1.1KMar 27, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 26?$1.1KMar 26, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 25?$1.1KMar 26, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 25?$1.1KMar 25, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?$1.1KMar 25, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?$1.1KMar 24, 02:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $760.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.