Plaintive-Messenger
0x41ad51bf7de1a1c44ce2b1710ea6c41608da35df
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.81
Total PnL
$-596.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
543 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.81
$-167.40
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
8525 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-244.54
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
311 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-149.35
- AURORA
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
69 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$168.21Mar 31, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$168.21Mar 31, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$35.00Mar 12, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arman Tsarukyan win against Muhammed Mokaev?$194.81Mar 12, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$149.35Mar 12, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arman Tsarukyan win against Muhammed Mokaev?$150.00Mar 11, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$144.00Mar 10, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWarriors vs. Jazz$96.05Mar 10, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Jazz$50.00Mar 10, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$100.55Mar 8, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$98.55Mar 8, 15:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $115.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 23:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.