Scented-Lizard
0x41b0ee514df0c43652d28323292776bedff29801
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-535.43
Realised
$-84.02
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
2666 shares @ 89.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$1.69
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
1134 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$969.17
$-5.67
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
674 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$662.32
$12.32
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
641 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$535.26
$35.26
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
538 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
520 shares @ 67.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
106 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$974.84Jun 2, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$974.79Jun 1, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$150.00May 30, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$884.00May 24, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$884.19May 24, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1000.00May 23, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.0KMay 23, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1000.00May 23, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$500.00May 18, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$500.00May 18, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$500.00Apr 26, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$25.00Feb 28, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$25.00Feb 28, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$20.00Feb 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$25.00Feb 28, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$50.00Feb 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?$363.98Feb 28, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$50.00Feb 28, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.2KFeb 28, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1000.00Feb 28, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $539.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 17:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".