Dear-Gripper
0x41cb8653fd75ebf2a46741d224dc596e5a72a5df
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$630.00
Total PnL
$-463.49
Realised
$19.75
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
150 shares @ 90.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$149.77
$14.28
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
250 shares @ 55.2¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$148.75
$10.75
- YES
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 66.5¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$75.45
$-4.20
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
40 shares @ 85.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$39.90
$5.68
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$29.95
$1.06
- NO
Will Trump say "No No No" this week?
52 shares @ 29.7¢·now 51.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$26.27
$10.96
- YES
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
202 shares @ 15.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.30
$-5.88
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.55
$3.45
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 53.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.50
$-3.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$16.29
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Illegal Alien" during announcement on Freedom Haulers?$4.10Jul 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Illegal Alien" during announcement on Freedom Haulers?$4.60Jul 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?$6.70Jul 30, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?$13.40Jul 30, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?$14.80Jul 30, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: July$9.96Jul 30, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "No No No" this week?$38.55Jul 30, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "President Xi" this week?$7.58Jul 29, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$56.87Jul 29, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$20.51Jul 29, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$0.32Jul 29, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$7.60Jul 29, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$4.26Jul 29, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$8.31Jul 29, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?$12.00Jul 29, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "President Xi" this week?$1.87Jul 29, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$19.42Jul 29, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$2.99Jul 29, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$3.16Jul 29, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$7.12Jul 29, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $10.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 16:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.