Whirlwind-Primate
0x41d1a732b1a45406fdd83b2f1e8901ed75c80a19
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$47.12
Total PnL
$-585.75
Realised
$17.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
79 shares @ 22.8¢·now 59.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.12
$29.11
- NO
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
6064 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-277.94
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
2903 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-73.78
- RICO
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
1330 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-99.61
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
145 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.40
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
144 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
60 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-39.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$1.82Jul 23, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$36.57Jul 23, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$40.30Jul 22, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$21.00Jul 22, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$380.00Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$228.80Jul 16, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$3.21Jul 11, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$40.18Jul 7, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$40.00Jun 9, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$21.20Jun 9, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$5.83May 30, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$20.00May 29, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$48.94May 23, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$53.44May 23, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$99.99May 19, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$0.08May 17, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$11.01May 17, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.83May 17, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.82May 17, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$39.01May 17, 11:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $30.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.