0x41ded0d46d3135dba0e25f762007a0037b9f6179
0x41ded0d46d3135dba0e25f762007a0037b9f6179
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$548.85
Total PnL
$-304.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
549 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$548.85
$48.85
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will EA say "The Sims" during earnings call?
5502 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-163.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
4000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1389 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
200 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.60
- YES
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
197 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-28.65
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 26?
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 26?$1.53Jan 26, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 26?$42.16Jan 26, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 26?$12.30Jan 26, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$28.65Jan 25, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EA say "The Sims" during earnings call?$125.00Jan 24, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$15.60Jan 24, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$500.00Jan 19, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 19, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EA say "The Sims" during earnings call?$38.00Jan 19, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 19, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$50.00Jan 19, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $77.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 10:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".