Little-Gerbil
0x41eb152fd3c4e3e22871df85a3e236efef20e439
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-300.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?
221 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?
218 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 30?
213 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?
211 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-206.78
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 31?
201 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 16?
184 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 31?
179 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on January 30?
178 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 25?
151 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?
139 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 17?$1.83Jul 16, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 8?$73.96Jul 8, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 8?$70.41Jul 7, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?$1.89Jul 6, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$4.47May 31, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 31?$1.72May 30, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 24?$89.87May 24, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 24?$87.71May 24, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 18?$1.84May 17, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?$71.14May 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?$0.14May 16, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?$68.87May 16, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?$2.79May 13, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.70 May 4-10?$2.67May 10, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$1.31May 7, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 6?$22.98May 7, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 28?$2.16Apr 27, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 26?$2.71Apr 25, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 15?$77.06Apr 25, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.23Apr 16, 14:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $21.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.