White-Milkshake
0x41f0622371f07672c8265d5e628e7903d1b6221e
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$0.46
Total PnL
$-255.91
Realised
$-4.25
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
21 shares @ 13.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-2.55
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.22
$-0.57
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
150 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
105 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- NO
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-02?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- TYLOO
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
40 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- MIAMI MARLINS
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)
38 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Kweisi Mfume be the Democratic nominee for MD-07?
37 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
37 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.19Jul 1, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$2.16Jul 1, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.27Jul 1, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$1.04Jun 30, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.87Jun 30, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$1.13Jun 30, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?$1.01Jun 30, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2.04Jun 30, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?$1.65Jun 30, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?$4.20Jun 30, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$3.70Jun 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.77Jun 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$6.26Jun 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$6.02Jun 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.72Jun 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEdi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?$5.26Jun 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$4.64Jun 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$6.12Jun 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$6.21Jun 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$5.08Jun 30, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.