Responsible-Plover
0x41fb8bcc57f27d0fa5b1990466d7e4f0289db6b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$117.17
Total PnL
$-614.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
137 shares @ 83.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.17
$2.17
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
406 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
210 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-167.63
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?
187 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-16.81
- OVER
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5
184 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- MANCHESTER CITY FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
174 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- REAL BETIS BALOMPIÉ
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)
157 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?
152 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-22?
148 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-38.47
- YES
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?
93 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$106.52May 18, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.14May 18, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?$12.65May 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?$10.52May 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$40.78May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$51.07May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-22?$38.47Mar 22, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$38.46Mar 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?$8.86Mar 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Sporting CP (-1.5)$15.00Mar 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$20.00Mar 15, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)$43.86Mar 15, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score$7.90Mar 14, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Zaragoza vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score$20.00Mar 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)$25.00Mar 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?$20.00Mar 14, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?$50.00Mar 12, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)$33.00Mar 12, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)$10.00Mar 11, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$65.00Mar 11, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $33.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 22:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".