0x4202e030ba2e5998e4e05bcbb44b8992917936a4
0x4202e030ba2e5998e4e05bcbb44b8992917936a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$73.54
Total PnL
$-13.24
Realised
$-9.78
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
BitBoy convicted?
15 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.00
$8.10
- NO
Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.05
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
9 shares @ 37.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.38
$4.05
- NO
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
7 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$7.00
$0.14
- YES
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
833 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?$0.00Mar 3, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$0.00Mar 3, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$0.00Mar 3, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$0.00Mar 3, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?$0.00Mar 3, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$0.00Mar 3, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?$0.00Mar 3, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?$0.00Mar 3, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?$0.00Mar 3, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?$0.00Mar 3, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.00Mar 3, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.00Feb 24, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 14, 12PM ET$10.00Feb 21, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Manhattan Jaspers (-1.5)$0.00Feb 21, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?$14.00Feb 21, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12AM ET$0.00Feb 21, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.00Feb 21, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 14, 3PM ET$10.00Feb 21, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 14, 2AM ET$0.00Feb 21, 03:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $4.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 18:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.