0x4216eff0e78b2d785bb534aee13b309f9a74a32c
0x4216eff0e78b2d785bb534aee13b309f9a74a32c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$11.30
Total PnL
$-1.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.53
$0.32
- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.32
$0.19
- NO
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$2.02
$0.20
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.21
$0.17
- NO
Will China's monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in December?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.11
$0.19
- NO
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
1 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?
2 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.21Jan 4, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?$0.81Dec 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?$0.73Dec 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?$1.01Dec 28, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$0.12Dec 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?$1.10Dec 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?$1.10Dec 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.04Dec 28, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$0.13Dec 28, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.02Dec 27, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.10Dec 27, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in December?$0.92Dec 27, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$1.02Dec 27, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$1.11Dec 27, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$1.82Dec 27, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$0.98Dec 27, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $0.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 18:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.