Quixotic-Beancurd
0x4230b19c2ef7f58ed5c48bc880f5ce00d6e8152e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
160
Open notional
$530.04
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-7.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 160- OVER
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5
235 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$223.25
$2.35
- OVER
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: O/U 0.5
236 shares @ 97.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$223.02
$-7.49
- OVER
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5
50 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$49.98
$3.48
- YES
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
31 shares @ 98.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$29.15
$-1.25
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?
300 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.65
$-6.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 28?
563 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 28?
376 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 3?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?
304 shares @ 98.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 3?
227 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5$220.00Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$89.08Jun 13, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$52.15Jun 12, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$17.16Jun 12, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?$14.34Jun 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?$22.18Jun 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?$45.76Jun 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?$47.02Jun 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$185.93Jun 12, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$294.12Jun 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$265.77Jun 12, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$31.05Jun 12, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?$97.09Jun 12, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$49.58Jun 12, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$248.18Jun 12, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$141.07Jun 12, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5$46.60Jun 12, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$15.71Jun 12, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?$5.63Jun 12, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5$50.00Jun 11, 21:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $100.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.