Unruly-Dialogue
0x4266d3aeedfb1a99f8a79406d97e2b230c725305
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$58.5K
Total PnL
$282.46
Realised
$-35.55
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
41039 shares @ 94.3¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.0K
$316.78
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
7195 shares @ 84.9¢·now 89.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.5K
$358.34
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35000 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.7K
$57.89
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30000 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.8K
$-15.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.4K
$-285.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
3263 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$86.47
$-27.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
8000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-87.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.3KJun 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$123.07Jun 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$881.90Jun 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$70.51Jun 15, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$70.51Jun 15, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$113.47Jun 15, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$94.09Jun 15, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$12.56Jun 15, 06:48 UTC
- YIELD$1.16Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.21Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.23Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.9KJun 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.9KJun 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.2KJun 12, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.3KJun 12, 08:26 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.4KJun 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$27.14Jun 11, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$2.0KJun 11, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.8KJun 11, 13:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.