0x4268f7a96b4a77d919d54a92c81ba37276418e40
0x4268f7a96b4a77d919d54a92c81ba37276418e40
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$16.06
Total PnL
$-0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 27 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.00
$1.86
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.88
$0.99
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$2.03
$0.49
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.93
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 24.5¢·now 21.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.51
$-0.02
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.51
$-0.02
- NO
Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?
3 shares @ 47.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.42
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 27 2026?$1.17Jul 28, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 27, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 27, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?$1.44Jul 26, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 26, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.11Jul 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$1.89Jul 25, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.08Jul 24, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$2.08Jul 24, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.81Jul 23, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1.54Jul 23, 02:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 02:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.