0x426ad8df074058e04606afbe4234747e83471376
0x426ad8df074058e04606afbe4234747e83471376
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$355.20
Realised
$93.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
472 shares @ 89.9¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$450.54
$25.95
- NO
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
420 shares @ 33.9¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$252.04
$109.58
- NO
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31?
241 shares @ 88.5¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$221.91
$8.34
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
191 shares @ 52.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$191.41
$91.58
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
55 shares @ 59.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$54.71
$22.31
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
893 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$10.72
$3.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$51.70Jul 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$12.75Jul 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$14.85Jul 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$2.45Jul 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$41.32Jul 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$11.32Jul 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$13.71Jul 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$46.04Jul 13, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$43.85Jul 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$58.48Jul 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?$213.93Jul 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?$214.91Jul 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$50.79Jul 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$15.16Jul 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2.78Jul 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.34Jul 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.34Jul 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$3.60Jul 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$9.43Jul 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$4.15Jul 13, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $30.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.