Orderly-Advancement
0x4288206424da09f32eba9de441da22d2b5ce2763
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$333.88
Total PnL
$-223.70
Realised
$-215.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$140.18
$3.67
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$96.60
$5.60
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$45.75
$0.25
- NO
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
50 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 42.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.60
$-16.81
- NO
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill any of the stolen KitKats be recovered by April 30?$4.757h ago
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$99.4010h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$45.5017h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?$118.3623h ago
- REDEEMKash Patel out by April 30?$345.8023h ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$300.0123h ago
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$40.001d ago
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$119.281d ago
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$35.121d ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$100.001d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$71.351d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$19.641d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$91.001d ago
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$19.331d ago
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$12.641d ago
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$43.281d ago
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?$15.121d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Greenland by December 31?$38.361d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$1.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?$11.201d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $25.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".