Crafty-Combine
0x428a7cc0983b914bf5fca42802bd585f1d326e79
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$131.48
Total PnL
$32.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
59 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$58.82
$18.82
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
41 shares @ 49.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$40.60
$20.60
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
25 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$24.59
$9.59
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.28
$1.18
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.44
$-2.56
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
42 shares @ 23.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.67
$-8.33
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$10.00Jun 8, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$3.00Apr 24, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$17.56Apr 24, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$2.10Apr 23, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$1.00Apr 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$20.00Apr 23, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$2.00Apr 23, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 23, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$4.91Apr 23, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$5.00Apr 23, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$31.28Apr 23, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$22.78Apr 21, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$22.15Apr 21, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$12.00Apr 19, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$20.00Apr 19, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$17.86Apr 19, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?$13.69Apr 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?$10.94Apr 15, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $12.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 06:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.