Small-Content
0x4294a5e0d9921284dfddd5ea8b300f03c226acec
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$27.00
Total PnL
$-100.83
Realised
$3.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.30
$-1.50
- NO
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
8 shares @ 97.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.28
$-0.22
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.23
$0.02
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
6 shares @ 79.7¢·now 82.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 20-26?
3284 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
1500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- WEIBO GAMING
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
1000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.04Jun 3, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$7.46Jun 3, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.12Jun 3, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.21Jun 3, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$4.08Jun 3, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 25-31?$4.12Jun 3, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$4.86Jun 3, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$6.48Jun 3, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$7.83Jun 3, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$10.16Jun 3, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 25-31?$4.10May 27, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$3.90May 18, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$10.00May 12, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$3.49May 5, 11:53 UTC
- REWARD$1.31May 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?$4.07Apr 29, 02:26 UTC
- REWARD$1.31Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?$0.20Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?$1.60Apr 28, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 28, 18:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 19:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".