0x4298e38d43f078750512e2cf29ed2c52dd58f07d
0x4298e38d43f078750512e2cf29ed2c52dd58f07d
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-136.99
Realised
$2.74
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
500 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?
120 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-45.60
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
100 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on July 11?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
59 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.14
- YES
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
40 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Drake release an album by August 31?
31 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.25
- YES
Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
20 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
10 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$270.00May 7, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$591.26May 7, 15:34 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.62May 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$158.00May 3, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$41.91May 3, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$118.09May 3, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$17.64May 3, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$63.35May 1, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$60.13May 1, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$24.42May 1, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$21.87May 1, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$5.41May 1, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$154.00May 1, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$18.98May 1, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$156.00May 1, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$79.00May 1, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$84.00Apr 20, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$47.46Apr 20, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$0.00Apr 20, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$100.00Apr 20, 22:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $71.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 18:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 15:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".