Sturdy-Outrun
0x42a2653c04d3622bf81e08af767fdff135bb35cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$7.36
Total PnL
$-66.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.20
$-0.02
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.16
$-0.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 12?
5306 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 11?
2189 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2?
2164 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on February 26?
2134 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.27
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 6?
2115 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.34
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 6?
2073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?
2062 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 2?
1935 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$7.22Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$7.20May 26, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?$7.24May 22, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?$7.20May 20, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 15?$3.65May 16, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 13?$2.18May 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?$3.67May 12, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?$3.63May 11, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 9?$1.8KMay 10, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 9?$1.8KMay 10, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?$1.8KMay 9, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?$1.8KMay 9, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 8?$1.8KMay 9, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 8?$1.8KMay 9, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 8?$1.8KMay 8, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 8?$1.8KMay 8, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?$1.8KMay 8, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?$1.8KMay 8, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 3?$0.00May 8, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?$1.8KMay 7, 18:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $497.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".