Tough-Hippopotamus
0x42b37a0e2f2b2653d72a0f61f422d5739061d353
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.58
Total PnL
$-35.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
18 shares @ 16.7¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.58
$-0.42
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
2880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
236 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-13.98
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
111 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
58 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$3.00Jun 11, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?$3.20May 4, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$0.00Apr 10, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$3.00Apr 10, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$0.00Apr 10, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$5.28Apr 10, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$3.00Apr 10, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.00Apr 10, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.00Apr 10, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$3.00Apr 10, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 10, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$15.00Apr 2, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?$3.29Apr 2, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 26, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $3.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.