Roasted-Discourse
0x42bf880ac81fbe861f40288ae082ca50088f56f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$202.34
Total PnL
$-42.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.00
$-1.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
20 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.39
$-0.23
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.75
$0.75
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
40 shares @ 30.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.20
$4.20
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$9.50
$-1.50
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-6.50
- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
21 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 30?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$134.00May 20, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$20.51May 20, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$10.50May 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$6.00May 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$6.00May 20, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$13.20May 20, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?$35.50May 20, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$13.20May 20, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?$36.00May 20, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$10.15May 20, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$10.15May 20, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$10.15May 20, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$47.81May 20, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$47.85May 20, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$10.15May 20, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$9.68May 20, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$47.95May 20, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$1.43May 20, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$2.52May 20, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$6.55May 20, 07:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $18.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".