Parched-Craftsman
0x42e7ab8ec6b0955593c8ab498099a388015265f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-513.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
891 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.91
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
311 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- RICO
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
74 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-26.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
69 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-36.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
66 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-33.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
65 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-35.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
61 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-31.68
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$85.02Jun 22, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.98Jun 22, 03:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $27.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 01:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.