Tan-Bike
0x42eca631ce7f41c7013fad3b18f8e48e28c3a235
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$13.01
Total PnL
$-25.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?$26.31May 22, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$34.96May 22, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$48.40May 22, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$35.00May 22, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$34.96May 15, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$22.14May 15, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$35.00May 15, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$54.84Apr 13, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 13?$13.00Apr 13, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.11Apr 13, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 10?$11.01Apr 13, 08:49 UTC
- SPLITWill Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$55.00Apr 13, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$59.93Mar 9, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 10?$11.00Mar 9, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$60.00Mar 9, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$45.95Mar 4, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 14?$9.01Mar 4, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$15.00Mar 4, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $90 January 19-25?$16.05Mar 4, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$31.00Mar 4, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $43.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 5, 03:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.