Cautious-Numeric
0x42fa5ee315ac4a3fcbc9ac15d43656c0419ab252
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$13.79
Total PnL
$-35.71
Realised
$-17.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mullins McLeod win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$3.93
$0.93
- NO
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.92
$-0.11
- YES
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$2.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Catherine Fleming Bruce be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?
53 shares @ 5.7¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$2.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?
46 shares @ 6.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.14
$-1.82
- NO
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?
66 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Lionel Messi attend Super Bowl LX?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Emerald City Route Artist" be said at the Super Bowl?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-01?
3 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Fleming Bruce be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?$0.00May 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Fleming Bruce be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?$0.34May 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mullins McLeod win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?$1.04May 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.02May 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$1.04May 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Fleming Bruce be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?$0.68May 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?$1.02May 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.02May 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$1.04May 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mullins McLeod win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?$1.04May 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Fleming Bruce be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?$1.04May 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?$1.01May 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.02May 12, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$1.04May 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mullins McLeod win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?$1.04May 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Fleming Bruce be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?$1.04May 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?$1.04May 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$0.98May 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$16.47Feb 9, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Emerald City Route Artist" be said at the Super Bowl?$4.00Feb 8, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".