Several-Tailbud
0x4307a1cf753af804b4dde531391a8d329041cdd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$24.51
Total PnL
$-15.39
Realised
$5.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
60 shares @ 39.6¢·now 25.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$15.57
$-8.19
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.85
$2.85
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.33
$2.33
- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
28 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$23.76Mar 24, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.00Mar 6, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$2.50Mar 6, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.50Mar 6, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.58Mar 6, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.00Mar 6, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.00Mar 6, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.47Mar 1, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$1.69Mar 1, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.27Mar 1, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$5.00Mar 1, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.41Jan 22, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.58Jan 22, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$4.90Jan 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$0.00Jan 15, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$0.00Jan 15, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$0.00Jan 15, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump by September 30?$0.00Jan 15, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.