Safe-Direction
0x430d2113615e9b0e00c8b261b0c917a57054edaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.92
Total PnL
$-27.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
204 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.14
$1.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 15?
35 shares @ 5.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
337 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 14?
62 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.03
$-1.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 14?
23 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.01
$-1.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on July 12?
876 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 12?
353 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 4?
210 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 10?
48 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 10?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 15?$2.09Jul 14, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 14?$2.10Jul 13, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 14?$1.67Jul 13, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 12?$2.25Jul 12, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 12, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 12, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?$2.04Jul 12, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 13?$2.09Jul 12, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 12?$2.01Jul 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?$2.02Jul 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 12?$2.10Jul 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on July 12?$2.10Jul 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12?$1.19Jul 11, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 10?$2.63Jul 10, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 10?$2.53Jul 10, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 9?$1.45Jul 9, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?$108.34Jul 9, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 10?$2.02Jul 9, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 10?$2.02Jul 9, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?$2.03Jul 9, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.