SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Nov 1, 2026
Creator

Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$222.43

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Nov 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source

Not stated explicitly in the metadata. Read the full market rules below before treating any move as a resolved fact.

Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.5pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 05:00May 3, 2026, 04:46
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Open resolution ambiguity — verify the source.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $222 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 4363.2h

    LOW
  • 04:46Signal

    Resolution risk

    Open resolution ambiguity — verify the source.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.

Biggest hourly move: -48.4pp at 2d ago (to 2¢).

Show 4 hourly moves
  • 2d ago · -41.3pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -41.3pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -48.4pp → 2¢
  • 5d ago · +43.3pp → 43¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.