Bumpy-Doughnut
0x430fb4135e5b942a1640ab250d96db3c70235c08
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$87.60
Total PnL
$-736.21
Realised
$-55.04
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
203 shares @ 28.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.30
$-38.56
- YES
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
1017 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.80
$1.88
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 24.5¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.80
$-17.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
380 shares @ 8.3¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.16
$-19.24
- YES
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
94 shares @ 20.4¢·now 7.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.14
$-12.00
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
302 shares @ 29.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.29
$-84.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
640 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.24
$-1.73
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
120 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$-30.22
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
64 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.48
$-7.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$10.63Jun 6, 11:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$35.68Jun 2, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$30.58Jun 2, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$3.06May 26, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$24.14May 26, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$33.00May 20, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$4.32May 18, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$4.50May 18, 10:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $20.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 06:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.