Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

• SELLUP
  0x3f80…0063$0.03@ 16¢
  5m ago
• BUYNATUS VINCERE
  Growling-Enrollment$4.50@ 15¢
  5m ago
• BUYDOWN
  Indolent-Classroom$1.00@ 81¢
  5m ago
• BUYDOWN
  Indolent-Classroom$1.00@ 74¢
  5m ago
• BUYDOWN
  Popular-Insurrection$46.52@ 78¢
  5m ago
• SELLYES
  Motionless-Artifact$5.3K@ 88¢
  5m ago
• BUYYES
  Enormous-Addition$5.00@ 63¢
  5m ago
• BUYDOWN
  Ultimate-Tuna$9.00@ 90¢
  5m ago
• BUYDOWN
  Overcooked-Soy$3.95@ 79¢
  5m ago
• BUYDOWN
  Little-Fraction$35.88@ 78¢
  5m ago
• BUYNATUS VINCERE
  Unsteady-Velocity$2.00@ 20¢
  5m ago
• BUYYES
  Adored-Lobotomy$1.00@ 9¢
  5m ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.