Blushing-Disposition
0x431cfd638b3875f78c73e959ed5a65f9dc4ea486
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$13.20
Total PnL
$-1.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.99
$0.02
- YES
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.57
$1.39
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.34
$0.00
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.75
$0.01
- NO
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$0.01
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- YES
Will Chris Stapleton win Entertainer of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$2.34Jun 1, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.34Apr 30, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by April 30?$1.04Apr 29, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.25Apr 28, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.72Apr 14, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.15Mar 29, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.18Mar 29, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$1.74Dec 30, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill AutoSnore: Snoring Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$1.65Dec 30, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?$1.94Dec 30, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.30Dec 30, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AutoSnore: Snoring Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$1.04Dec 1, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.01Nov 28, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$4.72Nov 25, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$13.68Nov 25, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$18.40Nov 25, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$5.94Nov 25, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$12.96Nov 25, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$18.90Nov 25, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.05Nov 24, 01:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".