Circular-Poignance-Explanation
0x431fcf9550b67449554f82e9ba27f72dddb6dccf
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$126.94
Total PnL
$-83.07
Realised
$-0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
40 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$39.92
$-0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$19.98
$-0.01
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$19.63
$-0.36
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.46
$-0.54
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 65.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.90
$-1.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 30?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.24
$0.05
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?
3 shares @ 40.9¢·now 38.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.10
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 29?
326 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.65
$-76.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?
29 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.13
$-2.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.04May 30, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.13May 30, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$1.19May 30, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.01May 30, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?$0.79May 30, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.01May 30, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.01May 30, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$1.20May 30, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.08May 30, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.02May 30, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.01May 30, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.08May 30, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.01May 30, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.08May 30, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.02May 30, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.01May 30, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.02May 30, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.01May 30, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.00May 30, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?$0.08May 30, 04:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 06:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".