0x43335834374489b0d9b468869e8833a29a663ca2
0x43335834374489b0d9b468869e8833a29a663ca2
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$185.56
Total PnL
$0.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$24.01
$4.01
- YES
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$19.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?
112 shares @ 17.8¢·now 11.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$12.64
$-7.36
- YES
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$12.44
$2.44
- NO
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?
14 shares @ 72.1¢·now 87.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$12.18
$2.18
- NO
Will T1 win MSI 2026?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$10.96
$0.96
- YES
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$10.41
$5.41
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 33.3¢·now 32.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 92.9¢·now 84.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.88
$-1.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?$5.10Jul 7, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?$5.06Jul 7, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)$5.08Jul 7, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$5.08Jul 7, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5$5.10Jul 7, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays$5.10Jul 7, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$0.00Jul 7, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5$0.00Jul 7, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?$0.00Jul 7, 10:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$9.62Jul 6, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?$0.00Jul 6, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?$0.00Jul 6, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?$10.31Jul 6, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?$10.13Jul 6, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?$10.22Jul 6, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?$5.06Jul 6, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?$5.06Jul 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?$2.06Jul 6, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?$2.06Jul 6, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $5.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 02:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.