Quizzical-Hire
0x43372356634781eea88d61bbdd7824cdce958882
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$239.7K
Total PnL
$-1.7M
Realised
$-536.98
Win rate
52%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
193567 shares @ 91.9¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$186.1K
$8.2K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
59845 shares @ 83.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.6K
$3.6K
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
444444 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-148.1K
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
333333 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-111.1K
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
263332 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-89.3K
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?
253840 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-57.0K
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
241049 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-112.3K
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
224243 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.1K
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
222222 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-74.1K
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
219477 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-88.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$17.61Jul 24, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$13.08Jul 24, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$7.40Jul 24, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.6KJul 24, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$427.06Jul 24, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$7.94Jul 24, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$4.43Jul 24, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.85Jul 24, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$5.55Jul 24, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$11.07Jul 24, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$0.41Jul 24, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.76Jul 24, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$0.74Jul 24, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.85Jul 24, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$10.80Jul 24, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.89Jul 24, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$50.23Jul 24, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$901.64Jul 24, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$7.61Jul 24, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha$2.6KJul 24, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$39.8K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
May 22, 00:10 UTC → Jul 16, 12:37 UTC
- BUYLoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B$7.5K@100¢Jul 16, 12:37 UTC
- BUYWill Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$6.8K@96¢Jul 6, 03:03 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
52% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 4 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
42 closed markets, 52% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$14.3K
2 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
4 ledger trades
Top market concentration
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
$15.8K · 40% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $251.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.