Firm-Blackfish
0x43384344f8e9bf83039a73447970a1bfd19a61e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?
7688 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-578.75
- YES
Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?
4019 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more?
3484 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 4.0% or more?
3437 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-637.94
- YES
Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?
3180 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-644.18
- YES
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?
2399 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-324.34
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?
2317 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-662.88
- NO
Will Harris win Maine by 5+ points?
1862 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-649.00
- YES
Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?
1797 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-257.50
- YES
Trump blowout victory?
679 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-95.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$33.94May 15, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Susan Crawford win by 8-10%?$50.00Apr 23, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?$25.50Apr 1, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?$17.00Apr 1, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by 8-10%?$41.50Apr 1, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel $14.40Apr 1, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$40.00Apr 1, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$80.00Apr 1, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?$115.00Apr 1, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?$0.00Feb 25, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?$0.00Feb 25, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?$33.28Feb 20, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$0.21Feb 20, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$3.00Feb 20, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?$33.00Feb 20, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?$33.00Feb 20, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$3.00Feb 20, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$11.72Feb 20, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$9.00Feb 20, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$6.06Feb 20, 02:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $20.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 04:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".