Writhing-Pint
0x433ab8508b98c897bacb30b8ae4cbf242b3f4cce
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.08
Total PnL
$-43.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.08
$0.02
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 1?
6351 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.35
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 15?
5460 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.92
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?
2111 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 21?
2082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 13?
2080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?
2068 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 5?
2064 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 27?
1079 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$16.08Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$16.00Jun 9, 08:47 UTC
- REWARD$1.54Jun 4, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$16.47Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$16.40May 25, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$16.30May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$16.20May 20, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 13?$4.16May 13, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 10?$2.1KMay 11, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 10?$2.1KMay 11, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10?$2.1KMay 10, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10?$2.1KMay 10, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?$2.1KMay 10, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?$2.1KMay 10, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$2.1KMay 9, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$2.1KMay 9, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$2.1KMay 9, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$2.1KMay 9, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 8?$2.1KMay 9, 02:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $484.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.