Adventurous-Buzzard
0x43405b1b3dee23baf8284b3bcfd79930600b64c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$79.2K
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$-13.4K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
100000 shares @ 60.4¢·now 73.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$73.5K
$13.1K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
20000 shares @ 56.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$4.9K
$-6.3K
- YES
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
1042 shares @ 57.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2026$802.09
$208.34
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 68.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$7.15
$0.35
Recent activity
- REWARD$5.04Aug 16, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$3.72Aug 14, 16:23 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$17.69Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$13.6KAug 13, 10:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$14.87Aug 13, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$4.77Aug 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$3.0KAug 12, 13:43 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$15.00Aug 12, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$19.89Aug 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.0KAug 11, 14:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$64.49Aug 11, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$50.00Aug 11, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$15.61Aug 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$10.43Aug 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$547.99Aug 10, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$35.34Aug 10, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.3KAug 10, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$4.9KAug 10, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1.65Aug 10, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$6.2KAug 10, 11:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.