Intent-Planning
0x4340c2e9c1580fb94d3315b8749204bb05b191fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
85
Open notional
$5.58
Total PnL
$-317.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Solana ETF approved by July 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- MICHELSEN
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.00Jun 13, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$1.03Jun 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$1.04Jun 13, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 13, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$2.01Jun 13, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?$10.00Jun 13, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?$3.60Jun 3, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?$6.10Jun 1, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.02Jun 1, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$1.02Jun 1, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.29Jun 1, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$0.97Jun 1, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.01Jun 1, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$1.01Jun 1, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLTom Lee charged by December 31?$2.03Jun 1, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026?$8.86Jun 1, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026?$0.48Jun 1, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.63Jun 1, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 20, 18:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.