Ideal-Atelier
0x435163a499b7c99ddcbdaa3430bdf1020bfcb197
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$3.16
Total PnL
$-61.77
Realised
$-1.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.19
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 20?
5393 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 20?
3321 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 11?
3229 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.46
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 11?
2149 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.45
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.10 on February 7?
1109 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 12?
1082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 13?
1081 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 19?
1080 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.21Jun 2, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.17Jun 2, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.20Jun 2, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$2.12May 30, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.16May 21, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 21?$2.14May 21, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 12?$2.16May 12, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.26May 6, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.14May 6, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.21May 6, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $50 on May 3?$2.11May 3, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 22?$2.13Apr 22, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.13Apr 14, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 13?$2.16Apr 13, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.23Apr 6, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 4?$2.16Apr 4, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on March 26?$2.12Mar 26, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 18?$1.1KMar 19, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 18?$1.1KMar 18, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?$1.1KMar 18, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $615.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 00:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".