Threadbare-Chops
0x43cfb584c8bfa7f322ea258e251bd656b30788fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$14.0K
Total PnL
$-11.6K
Realised
$8.53
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$4.6K
$-75.00
- NO
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 74.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.4K
$-50.00
- NO
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
1620 shares @ 80.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$94.84
- NO
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?
2362 shares @ 9.4¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$1.1K
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 69.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.3K
$-70.00
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 68.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.3K
$-60.00
- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.0K
$37.35
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
381 shares @ 75.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$372.74
$86.90
- YES
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?
1831 shares @ 5.2¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$306.75
$211.29
- YES
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?
1278 shares @ 9.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$223.70
$101.74
Recent activity
- REWARD$9.22Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$147.41Jun 12, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.98Jun 12, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.17Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.4KJun 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$54.85Jun 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$48.35Jun 12, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$41.00Jun 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?$3.63Jun 12, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?$3.46Jun 12, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?$1.56Jun 12, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?$2.08Jun 12, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?$4.15Jun 12, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$4.81Jun 12, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$68.98Jun 12, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?$286.21Jun 12, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?$104.74Jun 12, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$61.16Jun 12, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$4.56Jun 12, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$9.87Jun 12, 01:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $140.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.